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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Stoke

Wells (33')
Weimann (76'), Semenyo (89'), Pring (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61'), Bonham (83'), Powell (84'), Campbell (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-3 Bristol City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Stoke City

Given the level of inconsistency which has plagued each side this campaign, this is an extremely difficult match to call. Feel free to accuse us of sitting on the fence, but we can only predict a low-scoring draw, one which would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
35.73% (-1.61 -1.61) 27.84% (-0.183 -0.18) 36.43% (1.791 1.79)
Both teams to score 48.28% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (0.739 0.74)57.65% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58% (0.581 0.58)78.41% (-0.583 -0.58)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.631 -0.63)30.73% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-0.75 -0.75)66.99% (0.747 0.75)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (1.513 1.51)30.29% (-1.517 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (1.772 1.77)66.47% (-1.774 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 35.72%
    Stoke City 36.42%
    Draw 27.83%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.357 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.239 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.245 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.111 0.11)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.42%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Stoke

Bristol City
60.4%
Draw
29.2%
Stoke City
10.4%
48
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Jul 15, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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