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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Stoke City |
35.73% ( -1.61) | 27.84% ( -0.18) | 36.43% ( 1.79) |
Both teams to score 48.28% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.35% ( 0.74) | 57.65% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.58% ( 0.58) | 78.41% ( -0.58) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% ( -0.63) | 30.73% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33% ( -0.75) | 66.99% ( 0.75) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% ( 1.51) | 30.29% ( -1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.53% ( 1.77) | 66.47% ( -1.77) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.72% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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