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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate
Stoke logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
Stoke

Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')

Preview: Bristol City vs. Stoke City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stoke City make the trip to Bristol City on Wednesday evening looking to record their fourth successive victory in the Championship.

Meanwhile, the home side continue to struggle in the second tier, a three-match winless streak leaving Nigel Pearson's side down in 20th spot in the table.


Match preview

Stoke City's manager Michael O'Neill pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Stoke have been the epitome of what the Championship is all about this season, mixing prolonged positive streaks with a run of defeats in succession.

Fortunately for Michael O'Neill's men, four losses in a row has been followed by 10 points being collected over the same amount of games, keeping the Potters in the playoffs by three points.

The latest success came at home to Peterborough United at the weekend, Stoke prevailing by a 2-0 scoreline to also post their third successive clean sheet.

The moment of the contest came in the closing stages as Tyrese Campbell, on his fifth substitute outing since returning from a serious knee injury, netted the match-clinching goal.

While O'Neill will still not be tempted to rush the club's most prized asset, his return to the fold has come at the ideal time as Stoke target moving past third-placed West Bromwich Albion.

Bristol City manager Nigel Pearson pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

As far as Bristol City are concerned, Pearson continues to scrap for his job at Ashton Gate with just four points coming from a possible 21.

Although a 1-1 draw at home to Blackburn Rovers represents a small step in the right direction, it was yet another game where the Robins have blown an advantage.

Bristol City still only sit nine points adrift of the playoffs, but now being within five points of the relegation zone will be more of a pressing concern.

Despite one win having the potential to change everything for the better at Ashton Gate, Pearson can ill-afford to come through the next batch of games without signs of improvement.

Bristol City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Stoke City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Stoke City players celebrate Steven Fletcher's goal against Watford on November 4, 2020© Reuters

While O'Neill will give some consideration to handing a start to Campbell, the Stoke boss is likely to stick with Steven Fletcher in attack.

Morgan Fox should deputise for Josh Tymon at left wing-back, but Sam Surridge is suspended after his late red card against Peterborough.

Han-Noah Massengo is expected to be handed a recall in the Bristol City midfield, taking the spot of Ayman Benarous.

Rob Atkinson could return at centre-back, allowing Zak Vyner to play at right wing-back, but Danny Simpson and Cameron Pring are also options at the back.

If Pearson opts against playing with a central midfield three, Nahki Wells could come back into the team with Andreas Weimann being used in a deeper position.

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Kalas, Atkinson, Baker; Vyner, Williams, Massengo, Bakinson, O'Dowda; Weimann, Martin

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Davies; Ostigard, Batth, Chester; Smith, Vrancic, Allen, Sawyers, Fox; Campbell, Brown


SM words green background

We say: Bristol City 1-2 Stoke City

Bristol City have been on an upward trajectory at home, their return from the last two games the best in nine months. However, we cannot look past Stoke, who have the qualities to edge a close game at Ashton Gate.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:470823:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8413:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Bristol City vs Stoke

Bristol City
33.9%
Draw
19.6%
Stoke City
46.4%
56
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Nigel Pearson in charge of Bristol City in March 2021
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