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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Stoke logo

West Brom
2 - 0
Stoke

Bartley (39'), Thomas-Asante (50')
Townsend (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thompson (24'), Delap (47'), Brown (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 West Brom
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Stoke City

West Brom endured a terrible start to the season with the only way being upwards for Corberan after inheriting a squad that is way too good for a relegation fight in the Championship. Stoke recorded a solid win in midweek against Luton but their inconsistency could strike again as they face a Baggies side who are growing in confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
51.72% (0.508 0.51) 25.63% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.64% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (-0.45 -0.45)55.16% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (-0.37 -0.37)76.4% (0.372 0.37)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)21.36% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.742 -0.74)39.6% (0.744 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.694 -0.69)76.28% (0.69600000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 51.71%
    Stoke City 22.64%
    Draw 25.63%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.07% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.64%

How you voted: West Brom vs Stoke

West Bromwich Albion
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Stoke City
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-0
West Brom
Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')
Jan 20, 2020 8pm
West Brom
0-1
Stoke

Bartley (45')
Campbell (9')
Lindsay (28'), Allen (45'), Smith (91')
Feb 9, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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