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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Stoke City |
51.72% ( 0.51) | 25.63% ( 0) | 22.64% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 47.5% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.84% ( -0.45) | 55.16% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.6% ( -0.37) | 76.4% ( 0.37) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% ( 0.03) | 21.36% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.66% ( 0.05) | 54.34% ( -0.05) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.4% ( -0.74) | 39.6% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.72% ( -0.69) | 76.28% ( 0.7) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.71% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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