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Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Baker (75' pen.)
Sterling (9'), Thompson (57'), Fox (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Jutkiewicz (8'), Bielik (31'), Chong (75'), Sanderson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Stoke
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Millwall
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke are enduring an indifferent start to their Championship campaign and will be looking to improve their home form in order to climb up the standings, starting with a positive result against Birmingham. Birmingham have been a hard nut to crack for most opponents so far this season and will be confident in collecting at least a point on their travels this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
49.36% (0.118 0.12) 26.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.16% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)56.96% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (-0.058 -0.06)77.86% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.022000000000006 0.02)23.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)57.02% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-0.147 -0.15)39.17% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.136 -0.14)75.89% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.36%
    Birmingham City 24.16%
    Draw 26.47%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 49.36%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.16%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
46.9%
Draw
40.6%
Birmingham City
12.5%
32
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Oct 4, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Birmingham
Powell (86')
Chester (56'), Fox (83'), Clucas (85')
Dean (65')
Clayton (87')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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