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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Burnley logo

Birmingham
1 - 1
Burnley

Hogan (80')
Chong (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berg Gudmundsson (74')
Cork (44'), Zaroury (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Birmingham
Sunday, October 16 at 3.20pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Burnley

Burnley are in sensational form as they travel to St Andrew's but Birmingham will not be broken down as easily as Swansea were on Saturday afternoon. Eustace's team have fared well against the higher-ranked sides in the Championship and a clash with the Clarets under the floodlights will be a challenge Blues relish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBurnley
19.41% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 24% (0.323 0.32) 56.59% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.79% (-1.047 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-1.342 -1.34)52.48% (1.341 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-1.163 -1.16)74.15% (1.161 1.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (-0.853 -0.85)41.44% (0.851 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-0.759 -0.76)77.94% (0.758 0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.592 -0.59)18.38% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-1.011 -1.01)49.52% (1.009 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 19.41%
    Burnley 56.58%
    Draw 23.99%
Birmingham CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 5.01% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.41%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 12.9% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 10.92% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 56.58%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Burnley

Birmingham City
Draw
Burnley
Birmingham City
20.5%
Draw
19.2%
Burnley
60.3%
73
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Birmingham
1-2
Burnley
Maghoma (55')
Toral (33')
Toral (94')
Boyd (31'), Gray (77')
Ward (37'), Boyd (71'), Marney (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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