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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Burnley logo

Birmingham
1 - 1
Burnley

Hogan (80')
Chong (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berg Gudmundsson (74')
Cork (44'), Zaroury (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Birmingham
Sunday, October 16 at 3.20pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Burnley

Burnley are in sensational form as they travel to St Andrew's but Birmingham will not be broken down as easily as Swansea were on Saturday afternoon. Eustace's team have fared well against the higher-ranked sides in the Championship and a clash with the Clarets under the floodlights will be a challenge Blues relish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBurnley
19.41% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 24% (0.323 0.32) 56.59% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.79% (-1.047 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-1.342 -1.34)52.48% (1.341 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-1.163 -1.16)74.15% (1.161 1.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (-0.853 -0.85)41.44% (0.851 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-0.759 -0.76)77.94% (0.758 0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.592 -0.59)18.38% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-1.011 -1.01)49.52% (1.009 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 19.41%
    Burnley 56.58%
    Draw 23.99%
Birmingham CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 5.01% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.41%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 12.9% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 10.92% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 56.58%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Burnley

Birmingham City
20.5%
Draw
19.2%
Burnley
60.3%
73
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Birmingham
1-2
Burnley
Maghoma (55')
Toral (33')
Toral (94')
Boyd (31'), Gray (77')
Ward (37'), Boyd (71'), Marney (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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