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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Cardiff

Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Nkounkou (52'), Allsop (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, November 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Cardiff City

With both clubs heading into the World Cup on the back of a defeat, we feel avoiding another will be their focus here. With that in mind, expect a competitive share of the spoils to be played out in the Potteries, even if the consequence may be Cardiff dropping into the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
51.87% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 26.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 21.77% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.5% (-0.127 -0.13)58.5% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92% (-0.1 -0.1)79.08% (0.101 0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.012 -0.01)22.69% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)56.35% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (-0.177 -0.18)42.38% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (-0.153 -0.15)78.77% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 51.86%
    Cardiff City 21.77%
    Draw 26.35%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.77%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
56.3%
Draw
27.1%
Cardiff City
16.7%
48
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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