Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
We said: Stoke City 1-1 Cardiff City
With both clubs heading into the World Cup on the back of a defeat, we feel avoiding another will be their focus here. With that in mind, expect a competitive share of the spoils to be played out in the Potteries, even if the consequence may be Cardiff dropping into the bottom three.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87% . A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77% .
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%) , while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Stoke City Draw Cardiff City 51.87% ( 0.09) 26.36% ( 0.01) 21.77% ( -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.54% ( -0.14)
41.5% ( -0.13) 58.5% ( 0.13)
20.92% ( -0.1) 79.08% ( 0.1)
77.31% ( -0.01) 22.69% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.65% ( -0.02) 56.35% ( 0.02)
57.62% ( -0.18) 42.38% ( 0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.23% ( -0.15) 78.77% ( 0.15)
Stoke City 51.86%
Cardiff City 21.77%
Draw 26.35%
Stoke City Draw Cardiff City 1-0 @ 14.26% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 51.86% 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.35% 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.77%
How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff
Stoke City
Draw
Cardiff City
48
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 14:42:01
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