Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.