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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sheffield United logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Sheff Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)
Baldock (64')
Stevens (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-3 Hull City
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 0-1 Sheffield United

Sheffield United have far more quality than their opponents, as indicated by their push for promotion to the Premier League, while their opponents may be looking over their shoulder at the relegation zone. That said, the Blades struggled against similar opposition last time out, so we back them to win, but by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheffield United in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSheffield United
24.34% (0.293 0.29) 26.77% (0.117 0.12) 48.9% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.14% (-0.189 -0.19)57.87% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.42% (-0.15 -0.15)78.58% (0.155 0.16)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48% (0.165 0.16)39.52% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (0.153 0.15)76.21% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-0.267 -0.27)23.75% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (-0.385 -0.38)57.9% (0.39 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 24.34%
    Sheffield United 48.9%
    Draw 26.76%
Cardiff CityDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 5.82% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.05% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 24.34%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.39% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 13.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.7% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.65% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 48.9%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sheff Utd

Cardiff City
15.4%
Draw
19.2%
Sheffield United
65.4%
26
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Sheff Utd
1-0
Cardiff
Ndiaye (47')
Norwood (67')

Bagan (57'), McGuinness (60'), Ng (71')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
2-3
Sheff Utd
Harris (32'), McGuinness (90')
Collins (44')
Morrison (52')
Gibbs-White (61'), Sharp (73'), McGoldrick (75')
Norwood (40')
Apr 2, 2018 7.45pm
Aug 15, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 12, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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