Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.