Friendlies 3
Mar 20, 2025 at 6pm UK
Al-Khwar Stadium
Lebanon4 - 0East Timor
Osman (58'), Sabanov (85'), Jr. Merheg Enciso (90', 90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Lebanon and East Timor.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kuwait 0-2 Lebanon
Sunday, December 15 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, December 15 at 3pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: East Timor 0-3 Chinese Taipei
Tuesday, October 17 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, October 17 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 71.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for East Timor had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a East Timor win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lebanon | Draw | East Timor |
71.26% ( 0.02) | 18.35% ( -0.01) | 10.4% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 43.12% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.04) | 46.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( 0.04) | 69.05% ( -0.03) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( 0.02) | 11.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.93% ( 0.03) | 37.07% ( -0.03) |
| East Timor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.9% ( 0.02) | 51.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.59% ( 0.02) | 85.41% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Lebanon 71.25%
East Timor 10.4%
Draw 18.35%
| Lebanon | Draw | East Timor |
| 2-0 @ 13.77% 1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.8% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 71.25% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.35% | 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.91% 0-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.4% |
Form Guide
