MX23RW : Friday, March 21 11:28:58| >> :60:11:11:
Turkey national football team
Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 5pm UK
Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi (Istanbul)
Hungary national football team

Turkey
3 - 1
Hungary

Kokcu (9'), Akturkoglu (69'), Kahveci (73')
Kokcu (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Schafer (25')
Schafer (19'), Nagy (64'), Kata (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Montenegro 3-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Germany
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Turkey 1-1 Hungary

Turkey will be keen to make full use of home advantage ahead of Sunday's trip to Hungary, but we think that the hosts could be held to a draw in Thursday's contest, taking into account the fact that they have failed to win their last five head-to-head matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawHungary
61.8% (0.171 0.17) 21.54% (-0.3 -0.3) 16.66% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 50.23% (1.207 1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (1.478 1.48)46.6% (-1.479 -1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (1.371 1.37)68.87% (-1.373 -1.37)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (0.541 0.54)14.54% (-0.543 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (1.034 1.03)42.58% (-1.036 -1.04)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.77% (1.046 1.05)41.22% (-1.048 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.24% (0.914 0.91)77.75% (-0.916 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 61.79%
    Hungary 16.66%
    Draw 21.54%
TurkeyDrawHungary
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-0 @ 11.14% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.154 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.146 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.095 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.045 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 61.79%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.54%
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.66%

How you voted: Turkey vs Hungary

Turkey
Draw
Hungary
Turkey
63.9%
Draw
18.6%
Hungary
17.5%
183
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2024 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Hungary
1-0
Turkey
Szoboszlai (48' pen.)
Nagy (86'), Kleinheisler (90+6')

Akaydin (57')
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Hungary
2-0
Turkey
Siger (57'), Varga (90+5')
Cseri (54'), Dibusz (77'), Holender (78'), Gyurcso (90+1')

Tekdemir (48')
Sep 3, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Turkey
0-1
Hungary

Yilmaz (37'), Kahveci (90+1')
Szoboszlai (80')
Siger (45'), Fiola (59'), Lang (75')
rhs 2.0
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