We said: Wales 1-2 Turkey
For his first match in charge, Craig Bellamy could not come up against much tougher opponents at League B level, and his time as Wales boss may start with a loss: Turkey's attack is fearsome, while the Dragons have lost some of their roar.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.