![Wales national football team Wales national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/wallog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Euro Champ Qualifying | Final
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
![Poland national football team Poland national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/pollog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Wales0 - 0Poland
Poland win 5-4 on penalties
The Match
Match Report
Wales' Euro 2024 dreams come to a heartbreaking end as Poland win their playoff final 5-4 on penalties following a goalless draw in 120 minutes.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wales 4-1 Finland
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 5-1 Estonia
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wales | Draw | Poland |
45.57% (![]() | 26.57% (![]() | 27.86% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.05% (![]() | 54.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.77% (![]() | 76.23% (![]() |
Wales Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.95% (![]() | 24.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.68% (![]() | 58.32% (![]() |
Poland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.11% (![]() | 34.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.37% (![]() | 71.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wales 45.56%
Poland 27.86%
Draw 26.57%
Wales | Draw | Poland |
1-0 @ 11.95% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.97% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 12.59% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 8.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.86% |
How you voted: Wales vs Poland
Wales
32.0%Draw
15.0%Poland
53.0%300
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-17 00:03:33
1am
Bears
@
Vikings
1.30am
Falcons
@
Raiders
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
![Mount, Shaw updates: Man United injury, suspension news vs. Tottenham Mount, Shaw updates: Man United injury, suspension news vs. Tottenham](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Mount, Shaw updates: Man United injury, suspension news vs. Tottenham
2
![Real Madrid vs. Pachuca - prediction, team news, lineups Real Madrid vs. Pachuca - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Real Madrid vs. Pachuca - prediction, team news, lineups
3
![Arsenal defender Kiwior 'makes decision over future' ahead of January Arsenal defender Kiwior 'makes decision over future' ahead of January](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Arsenal defender Kiwior 'makes decision over future' ahead of January
4
![Barcelona vs. Man City - prediction, team news, lineups Barcelona vs. Man City - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Barcelona vs. Man City - prediction, team news, lineups
5
![Badiashile, Felix, Mudryk latest: Chelsea injury, suspension list vs. Shamrock Badiashile, Felix, Mudryk latest: Chelsea injury, suspension list vs. Shamrock](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Badiashile, Felix, Mudryk latest: Chelsea injury, suspension list vs. Shamrock
6
![Mohamed Salah's record vs. Southampton Mohamed Salah's record vs. Southampton](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Mohamed Salah's record vs. Southampton
7
![Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups
8
![Wolves 'verbally agree terms' with expected O'Neil successor Wolves 'verbally agree terms' with expected O'Neil successor](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Wolves 'verbally agree terms' with expected O'Neil successor
9
![Espanyol vs. Valencia - prediction, team news, lineups Espanyol vs. Valencia - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Espanyol vs. Valencia - prediction, team news, lineups
10
![Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano - prediction, team news, lineups Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano - prediction, team news, lineups
![As featured on NewsNow: Sport news As featured on NewsNow: Sport news](https://sm.imgix.net/12/40/newsnow_f_ab.gif?w=160&h=50)
Sport News 24/7