Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Air Albania Stadium

Albania
2 - 0
Poland

Asani (37'), Daku (62')
Cikalleshi (45+1'), Asllani (45+8'), Strakosha (59'), Veseli (65'), Daku (63'), Muja (75'), Sulejmanov (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bednarek (8'), Bereszynski (45+8'), Kaminski (45+7'), Krychowiak (60'), Kedziora (79'), Wieteska (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Albania and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Czech Republic 1-1 Albania
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	4	5	8
2	Albania	4	3	7
3	Poland	4	0	6
4	Moldova	4	-1	5
5	Faroe Islands	4	-7	1

Poland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Poland 2-0 Faroe Islands
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	4	5	8
2	Albania	4	3	7
3	Poland	4	0	6
4	Moldova	4	-1	5
5	Faroe Islands	4	-7	1

Poland can do the double over their fellow Eagles, as their superior firepower should separate the sides on Sunday. After some bumps in the road, many pundits' group favourites are bound to get back on track for a trip to Germany next summer - though the hosts will not make life easy amid a febrile atmosphere in Tirana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.

Result
Albania	Draw	Poland
53.09% ( -4.66)	25.87% ( 1.58)	21.04% ( 3.08)

Both teams to score 44.92% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.47% (

-2.09)

57.53% (

2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

-1.68)

78.32% (

1.69)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

-2.69)

21.76% (

2.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.05% (

-4.28)

54.95% (

4.29)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.41% (

2.28)

42.59% (

-2.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.06% (

1.88)

78.94% (

-1.88)

Score Analysis

Albania 53.08%

Poland 21.04%

Draw 25.87%

Albania	Draw	Poland
1-0 @ 14.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.97) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -1.01) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.53) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.6) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.08%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.7) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( 1.06) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.63) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.23) Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.04%