Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Torsvollur

Faroe Islands
1 - 3
Albania

Faero (45+1')
Joensen (49')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bajrami (20'), Asllani (51'), Muci (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Faroe Islands and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Faroe Islands

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-3 Czech Republic
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	3	5	7
2	Albania	2	1	3
3	Poland	2	-1	3
4	Moldova	3	-2	2
5	Faroe Islands	2	-3	1

Albania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Albania 2-0 Moldova
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	3	5	7
2	Albania	2	1	3
3	Poland	2	-1	3
4	Moldova	3	-2	2
5	Faroe Islands	2	-3	1

We said: Faroe Islands 0-1 Albania

We expect a tight game to be played out between these two nations, who both know there is plenty at stake in this match. Neither have exactly been free-scoring in recent times, which is hardly surprising given their modest resources, but we can envisage Albania taking another tight victory home with them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.

Result
Faroe Islands	Draw	Albania
16.81% ( -27.12)	23.86% ( 2.16)	59.32% ( 24.96)

Both teams to score 43.75% (

-26.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.53% (

-25.63)

55.47% (

25.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.34% (

-25.66)

76.65% (

25.66)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.68% (

-31.82)

46.32% (

31.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.03% (

-39.47)

81.97% (

39.47)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51% (

-0.1)

18.48% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.31% (

-0.17)

49.69% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Faroe Islands 16.81%

Albania 59.32%

Draw 23.86%

Faroe Islands	Draw	Albania
1-0 @ 6.59% ( 1.44) 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -4.14) 2-0 @ 2.54% ( -2.43) 3-1 @ 1.1% ( -4.32) 3-2 @ 0.93% ( -3.66) Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.81%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( 2.4) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 5.9) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -3.52) Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 14.45% ( 9.94) 0-2 @ 12.2% ( 8.38) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 2.01) 0-3 @ 6.87% ( 4.71) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 1.12) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( 1.98) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.47) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -1.99) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.67) Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.32%