Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Air Albania Stadium

Albania
2 - 0
Moldova

Asani (51'), Bajrami (76')
Mitaj (21')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Motpan (37'), Baboglo (69')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro 2024 Qualifying clash between Albania and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Poland 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	2	2	4
2	Poland	2	-1	3
3	Moldova	2	0	2
4	Faroe Islands	1	0	1
5	Albania	1	-1	0

Moldova

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Moldova 0-0 Czech Republic
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	2	2	4
2	Poland	2	-1	3
3	Moldova	2	0	2
4	Faroe Islands	1	0	1
5	Albania	1	-1	0

Given results so far in Group E, simply sweeping aside Moldova may not be on the agenda for an Albania side blessed with far more depth and top-level experience. In fact, it could take time to break the visitors down, so a two-goal home win is perhaps the likeliest result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Albania in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Albania.

Result
Albania	Draw	Moldova
51.73% ( 0.47)	27.29% ( -0.04)	20.98% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 41.31% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.78% (

-0.24)

62.21% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.11% (

-0.17)

81.89% (

0.17)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

0.11)

24.36% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.24% (

0.16)

58.76% (

-0.16)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.61% (

-0.6)

45.39% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.76% (

-0.48)

81.24% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Albania 51.72%

Moldova 20.98%

Draw 27.28%

Albania	Draw	Moldova
1-0 @ 15.61% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 51.72%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.98%