UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Albania
1 - 1
Iceland

Lenjani (35')
Ramadani (79'), Mihaj (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Anderson (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Albania and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Israel 2-1 Albania
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Iceland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Venezuela 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, September 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Iceland have drawn all three of their Nations League matches in this campaign, and we can envisage that run continuing on Tuesday. Neither side have much to play for, so they may be content with avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Albania	Draw	Iceland
47.5% ( 0.08)	24.31% ( -0.01)	28.19% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.54%

45.46% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.21%

67.79% (

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76% (

0.04)

19.24% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.05% (

0.06)

50.95% (

-0.05)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

-0.05)

29.67% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

-0.06)

65.73% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Albania 47.5%

Iceland 28.19%

Draw 24.31%

Albania	Draw	Iceland
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 47.5%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.31%	1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 28.19%