MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 17:28:06| >> :120:8123:8123:
Albania national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Iceland national football team

Albania
1 - 1
Iceland

Lenjani (35')
Ramadani (79'), Mihaj (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Anderson (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Albania and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Israel 2-1 Albania
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Venezuela 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, September 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Albania 1-1 Iceland

Iceland have drawn all three of their Nations League matches in this campaign, and we can envisage that run continuing on Tuesday. Neither side have much to play for, so they may be content with avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AlbaniaDrawIceland
47.5% (0.084000000000003 0.08) 24.31% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 28.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54%45.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21%67.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)19.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (0.055999999999997 0.06)50.95% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)29.67% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)65.73% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Albania 47.5%
    Iceland 28.19%
    Draw 24.31%
AlbaniaDrawIceland
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: Albania vs Iceland

Albania
54.7%
Draw
25.2%
Iceland
20.1%
139
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 7.45pm
League B2
Iceland
1-1
Albania
Sulejmanov (30')
Balliu (52')
Sep 10, 2019 7.45pm
Group H
Albania
4-2
Iceland
Dermaku (32'), Hysaj (52'), Roshi (78'), Cikalleshi (83')
Cikalleshi (56'), Strakosha (81'), Roshi (85')
Sigurdsson (47'), Sigthorsson (58')
Arnason (37')
Jun 8, 2019 2pm
Group H
Iceland
1-0
Albania
Berg Gudmundsson (22')
Sigurjonsson (33')

Basha (22'), Dermaku (88'), Veseli (89')
rhs 2.0
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