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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Albania national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Israel national football team

Albania
1 - 2
Israel

Broja (45+2' pen.)
Abrashi (9'), Cekici (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Solomon (57', 73')
Karzev (17'), Jaber (45+2'), Safouri (80'), Peretz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Albania and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

Last Six:
Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Albania
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Israel

Last Six:
Last Game: Israel 2-2 Iceland
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Albania 1-1 Israel

 With relegation not an option for either of these nations, they are free to throw caution to the wind in the search of glory. Nevertheless, there is very little between the two teams, and we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Israel had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
AlbaniaDrawIsrael
46.82% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 23.98% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 29.2% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)43.37% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)65.76% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)27.9% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.141 -0.14)63.51% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Albania 46.82%
    Israel 29.2%
    Draw 23.98%
AlbaniaDrawIsrael
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: Albania vs Israel

Albania
52.6%
Draw
28.9%
Israel
18.4%
38
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2018 7.45pm
League C1
Israel
2-0
Albania
Hemed (8'), Saba (83')
Tawatha (12'), Dasa (64')

Basha (44'), Djimsiti (52'), Hysaj (79')
Sep 7, 2018 7.45pm
League C1
Albania
1-0
Israel
Xhaka (55')
Basha (9'), Hysaj (81')

Habashi (25')
Jun 11, 2017 7.45pm
Group G
Israel
0-3
Albania
Sadiku (22', 44'), Memushaj (71')
Lila (57')
Nov 12, 2016 7.45pm
Group G
Albania
0-3
Israel

Llullaku (31'), Xhaka (49')
Djimsiti (17'), Berisha (55')
Zahavi (18' pen.), Einbinder (66'), Atar (84')
Goresh (40'), Sahar (61'), Buzaglo (80')
rhs 2.0
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