International Friendly
Nov 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Air Albania Stadium
Albania1 - 3Italy
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 Albania
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Albania 1-2 Italy
Both sides will have one eye on the future this week, so a certain amount of experimentation could take place; creating a more open contest. Even so, Mancini's men boast sufficient quality across the pitch to both blood fresh talent and continue their recent renaissance with another win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Albania had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for an Albania win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albania | Draw | Italy |
17.99% ( 0.02) | 24.41% ( 0) | 57.6% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.36% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.17% ( 0.01) | 55.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.05% ( 0.01) | 76.95% ( -0.01) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.94% ( 0.03) | 45.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.02% ( 0.02) | 80.97% ( -0.02) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( -0.01) | 19.27% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49% ( -0.01) | 50.99% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Albania 17.99%
Italy 57.59%
Draw 24.4%
| Albania | Draw | Italy |
| 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 17.99% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 14.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.77% 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.15% 0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 57.59% |
How you voted: Albania vs Italy
Albania
14.4%Draw
8.1%Italy
77.5%111
