MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 17:27:50| >> :60:149:149:
Albania national football team
International Friendly
Nov 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Air Albania Stadium
Italy national football team

Albania
1 - 3
Italy

Ismajli (16')
Kumbulla (45+4'), Bare (61'), Roshi (65')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Di Lorenzo (20'), Grifo (25', 64')
Verratti (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendly clash between Albania and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 Albania
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 0-2 Italy
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Albania 1-2 Italy

Both sides will have one eye on the future this week, so a certain amount of experimentation could take place; creating a more open contest. Even so, Mancini's men boast sufficient quality across the pitch to both blood fresh talent and continue their recent renaissance with another win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Albania had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for an Albania win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
AlbaniaDrawItaly
17.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.41% (0.0030000000000001 0) 57.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.36% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.17% (0.009999999999998 0.01)55.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)76.95% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.94% (0.025999999999996 0.03)45.05% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.02% (0.021999999999998 0.02)80.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)50.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Albania 17.99%
    Italy 57.59%
    Draw 24.4%
AlbaniaDrawItaly
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 4.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 2.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 17.99%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 14.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.77%
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 6.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.15%
0-4 @ 2.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 57.59%

How you voted: Albania vs Italy

Albania
14.4%
Draw
8.1%
Italy
77.5%
111
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2017 7.45pm
Group G
Albania
0-1
Italy

Lila (76')
Candreva (73')
Chiellini (81')
Mar 24, 2017 7.45pm
Group G
Italy
2-0
Albania
De Rossi (12' pen.), Immobile (71')

Memushaj (11'), Agolli (24'), Veseli (70'), Cikalleshi (75'), Kukeli (78')
rhs 2.0
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