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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Italy national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Hungary national football team

Italy
2 - 1
Hungary

Barella (30'), Pellegrini (45')
Barella (64'), Cristante (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mancini (61' og.)
Schafer (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Italy and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Tuesday's Nations League clash with Hungary.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

Last Six:
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Hungary

Last Six:
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Hungary vs. Germany
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Italy 1-1 Hungary

 With a motivated squad which, once convened, becomes more than the sum of its parts, Hungary are capable of achieving several 'surprise' results in Group 3, and could upset the established order once again on Tuesday. Their more illustrious counterparts may have had a radical makeover, but Italy still look short of confidence in the final third, so expect a low-scoring encounter, which could end all-square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Hungary win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
ItalyDrawHungary
45.7% (0.031000000000006 0.03) 25.95% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 28.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (0.107 0.11)52.25% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (0.091999999999999 0.09)73.95% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.060000000000002 0.06)22.82% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46% (0.087000000000003 0.09)56.54% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (0.054000000000002 0.05)33.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (0.059999999999999 0.06)69.67% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Italy 45.69%
    Hungary 28.35%
    Draw 25.94%
ItalyDrawHungary
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 28.35%

How you voted: Italy vs Hungary

Italy
63.5%
Draw
20.2%
Hungary
16.2%
277
Head to Head
Jun 19, 1938 6pm
Italy
4-2
Hungary
Colaussi (6', 35'), Piola (16', 82')
Titkos (8'), Sarosi (70')
rhs 2.0
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