World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Windsor Park

N. Ireland
0 - 0
Italy

Magennis (57'), Peacock-Farrell (83')

Tonali (9')

Italy drop into World Cup playoffs after goalless draw against Northern Ireland

European champions Italy miss the chance to qualify automatically for the 2022 World Cup after playing out a goalless draw away against Northern Ireland on Monday night.

Nov 15, 22:48

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Northern Ireland and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying clash with Northern Ireland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.52%) and 0-3 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.33%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Northern Ireland	Draw	Italy
11.52%	24.42%	64.05%

Both teams to score 31.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.84%

65.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16%

83.99%

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.72%

60.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.21%

90.79%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53%

20.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07%

52.92%

Score Analysis

Northern Ireland 11.52%

Italy 64.04%

Draw 24.41%

Northern Ireland	Draw	Italy
1-0 @ 6.24% 2-1 @ 2.51% 2-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.52%	0-0 @ 12.33% 1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 19.56% 0-2 @ 15.52% 0-3 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-4 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.75% Total : 64.04%