The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how leaders Italy could line up for Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying Group C clash with winless Lithuania.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 6.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 23.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.88%) and 3-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.02%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Lithuania |
| 69.8% | 23.37% | 6.84% |
| Both teams to score 21.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
