Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.98%) and 2-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Lithuania |
| 48.32% | 20.9% | 30.78% |
| Both teams to score 71.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.66% | 27.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.08% | 47.92% |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.86% | 12.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.27% | 37.73% |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% | 18.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.53% | 50.47% |
| Score Analysis |
Bulgaria 48.32%
Lithuania 30.78%
Draw 20.9%
| Bulgaria | Draw | Lithuania |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 4.97% 1-0 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-3 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.33% 5-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 7.08% 3-3 @ 2.76% 0-0 @ 2.3% Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 6.71% 2-3 @ 3.92% 0-1 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-2 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 1.55% 3-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.33% Total : 30.78% |
How you voted: Bulgaria vs Lithuania
Bulgaria
89.4%Draw
7.1%Lithuania
3.5%85
