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Bulgaria national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slavija
Italy national football team

Bulgaria
0 - 2
Italy


Kostadinov (57'), Vutov (58'), Bozhikov (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Belotti (43' pen.), Locatelli (83')
Locatelli (84'), Bernardeschi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Bulgaria and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's World Cup qualifying clash with Bulgaria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 9.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Italy in this match.

Result
BulgariaDrawItaly
9.53%15.2%75.27%
Both teams to score 51.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.36%34.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.41%56.59%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.3%44.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.3%80.69%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.28%7.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.5%27.5%
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 9.53%
    Italy 75.27%
    Draw 15.2%
BulgariaDrawItaly
2-1 @ 2.87%
1-0 @ 2.78%
2-0 @ 1.12%
3-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 9.53%
1-1 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 3.67%
0-0 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 15.2%
0-2 @ 11.32%
0-3 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-3 @ 7.78%
0-4 @ 6.19%
1-4 @ 4.99%
0-5 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 3.13%
1-5 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 2.01%
0-6 @ 1.35%
1-6 @ 1.09%
2-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 75.27%

Head to Head
Sep 6, 2015 7.45pm
Mar 28, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Bulgaria
2-2
Italy
Popov (11'), Micanski (17')
Dyakov (56')
Minev (4' og.), Eder (84')
Immobile (82'), Soriano (88'), Darmian (91')
Sep 6, 2013 7.45pm
Sep 7, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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