Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slavija
Bulgaria0 - 1Wales
The Match
Match Report
The Charlton midfielder was winning his 25th cap.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Wales in Sofia, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.32%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wales in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Wales |
| 17.44% | 25.5% | 57.05% |
| Both teams to score 40.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
