Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 25.06% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win is 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.57%).
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
50.54% ( 0.05) | 24.4% ( 0.25) | 25.06% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 53.79% ( -1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% ( -1.32) | 48.15% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.69% ( -1.22) | 70.31% ( 1.22) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% ( -0.49) | 19.07% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.33% ( -0.82) | 50.67% ( 0.81) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% ( -0.96) | 33.54% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.82% ( -1.06) | 70.18% ( 1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 25.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
9 | Raith Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |