Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.