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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
42.25% ( -0.16) | 25.71% ( 0.25) | 32.04% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.29% ( -1.08) | 49.71% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.28% ( -0.98) | 71.72% ( 0.97) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.63% ( -0.55) | 23.37% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.66% ( -0.81) | 57.34% ( 0.81) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% ( -0.59) | 29.16% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.9% ( -0.73) | 65.1% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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