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Europa League
Besiktas
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
Malmo

Besiktas
2 - 1
Malmo

Muci (76'), Kilicsoy (85')
Masuaku (45+2'), Paulista (69'), Kilicsoy (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rieks (90+3')
Pena (30'), Jansson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Besiktas and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Besiktas 1-3 Kasimpasa
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Malmo

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Hammarby 2-2 Malmo
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Besiktas 0-2 Malmo

 Besiktas have been hugely underwhelming in Europe, and the 1-0 win at Lyon appears to be something of an outlier, considering they have lost both matches domestically since. Malmo are decent travellers, with their only points coming on the road so far, and they will fancy their chances of keeping up their superb record against Turkish clubs with a seventh win in nine here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Besiktas in this match.

Result
BesiktasDrawMalmo
43.87% (4.351 4.35) 23.84% (-0.357 -0.36) 32.3% (-3.994 -3.99)
Both teams to score 60.86% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (0.728 0.73)41.16% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.45% (0.73699999999999 0.74)63.55% (-0.738 -0.74)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (2.266 2.27)19.03% (-2.267 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (3.632 3.63)50.61% (-3.633 -3.63)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-1.901 -1.9)24.83% (1.901 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (-2.725 -2.73)59.42% (2.723 2.72)
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 43.87%
    Malmo 32.3%
    Draw 23.83%
BesiktasDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.459 0.46)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.287 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.664 0.66)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.577 0.58)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.586 0.59)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.225 0.23)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.364 0.36)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.328 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 43.87%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.583 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.609 -0.61)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.711 -0.71)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.489 -0.49)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.471 -0.47)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.3%

How you voted: Besiktas vs Malmo

Besiktas
44.9%
Draw
11.8%
Malmo
43.3%
127
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2018 5.55pm
Group Stage
Besiktas
0-1
Malmo

Uysal (61')
Quaresma (65')
Antonsson (51')
Oct 4, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Malmo
2-0
Besiktas
Erkin (53' og.), Rosenberg (76' pen.)
Bachirou (45'), Bengtsson (69')

Pepe (58'), Medel (66'), Erkin (75')
rhs 2.0
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