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League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Mansfield Town

Northampton
0 - 2
Mansfield

FT(HT: 0-0)
Evans (47'), Lewis (89')
Evans (51'), Cargill (58'), Boateng (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-2 Mansfield Town

Each of Mansfield's last ten league matches have seen both teams find the net and a total of 35 goals scored, so another end-to-end contest could be on the cards this weekend. Mansfield will be regarded as slight favourites for this match despite their poor away run, but we can see Northampton following up their impressive win at Huddersfield with another positive result on home soil, claiming at least a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
22.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 54.31% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.31% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.18% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.034000000000002 0.03)69.41% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.039999999999992 0.04)35.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)72.32% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)47.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 22.19%
    Mansfield Town 54.3%
    Draw 23.5%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 22.19%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 54.3%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
36.4%
Draw
18.2%
Mansfield Town
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Northampton
1-0
Mansfield
Hoskins (28' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 18, 2022 7.45pm
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Mansfield
1-0
Northampton
Hawkins (21')
McLaughlin (5'), Hewitt (65'), Stirk (85')

Lewis (75')
Lewis (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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