We said: Barnsley 2-1 Northampton Town
While the visitors will be boosted by last week's comeback victory over Exeter City, they face a tougher test on Saturday in a trip to Oakwell.
Now up and running under new management with an impressive league victory under their belt, we back Barnsley to put three more points on the board with home advantage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.