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League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Exeter City

Northampton
2 - 1
Exeter

Morton (65'), McGeehan (78')
McGowan (55'), Mbete (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Crama (8')
Francis (35'), Cole (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Exeter City

There has only been one draw in the last seven league meetings between these two sides, and both teams won the away fixture during the 2023-24 campaign. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away success here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
25.33% (-1.296 -1.3) 24.65% (-0.554 -0.55) 50.02% (1.85 1.85)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (1.32 1.32)48.98% (-1.318 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (1.184 1.18)71.06% (-1.183 -1.18)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.352 -0.35)33.75% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.386 -0.39)70.41% (0.387 0.39)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (1.304 1.3)19.6% (-1.302 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (2.078 2.08)51.54% (-2.078 -2.08)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 25.33%
    Exeter City 50.02%
    Draw 24.64%
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.365 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.161 0.16)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.232 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.18% (0.289 0.29)
0-3 @ 4.77% (0.309 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.197 0.2)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.197 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 50.02%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-2
Exeter
Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125


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