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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Northampton Town

Exeter
1 - 2
Northampton

Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Northampton Town

Based on the unpredictable runs of form and consistency endured by both sides this season so far, it is difficult to predict which way this encounter will be going on Tuesday. For this reason, and due to the similar levels of quality possessed by both teams, we believe this big clash in League Two will end in a draw, with tight periods played out throughout the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
48.34%26.76%24.9%
Both teams to score 46.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.56%57.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75%78.25%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17%23.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42%58%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24%38.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5%75.5%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 48.33%
    Northampton Town 24.9%
    Draw 26.76%
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.54%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.33%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 24.9%

How you voted: Exeter vs Northampton

Exeter City
Draw
Northampton Town
Exeter City
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Northampton Town
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Northampton
2-0
Exeter
Oliver (1'), Hoskins (81' pen.)
Adams (90')

Sweeney (80')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
3-2
Northampton
Williams (38'), Martin (64'), Fisher (66')
Bowman (30'), Fisher (39')
Goode (33'), Hoskins (79')
Wharton (42')
Mar 9, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 36
Northampton
2-1
Exeter
Pierre (32'), Williams (56')
Taylor (60'), Foley (95')
Martin (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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