League Two

League Two | Gameweek 20

Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 2
Northampton

Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Northampton Town

Based on the unpredictable runs of form and consistency endured by both sides this season so far, it is difficult to predict which way this encounter will be going on Tuesday. For this reason, and due to the similar levels of quality possessed by both teams, we believe this big clash in League Two will end in a draw, with tight periods played out throughout the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Northampton Town
48.34%	26.76%	24.9%

Both teams to score 46.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.56%

57.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.75%

78.25%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17%

23.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42%

58%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24%

38.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5%

75.5%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 48.33%

Northampton Town 24.9%

Draw 26.76%

Exeter City	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 13.24% 2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.33%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.51% Total : 24.9%