Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.