MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:31:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 at 2pm UK
Sixfields
Carlisle United

Northampton
3 - 0
Carlisle

Lewis (41', 57', 67' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Armer (66'), Guy (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
38.99%27.72%33.29%
Both teams to score 48.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.6%57.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78%78.22%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36%28.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55%64.45%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8%32.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31%68.69%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.99%
    Carlisle United 33.29%
    Draw 27.71%
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.22%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.29%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Carlisle
0-2
Northampton
Pollock (51'), Hoskins (92')
Waters (58'), McWilliams (76')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Northampton
3-0
Carlisle
Bridge (48', 62'), Morias (72')
McWilliams (54')

Etuhu (32'), Hope (77')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 2
Carlisle
2-2
Northampton
Devitt (30'), Hope (63')
Liddle (10')
Van Veen (40'), Crooks (62')
Crooks (8'), Pierre (28'), Hoskins (45')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
1-4
Northampton
Hope (47')
Hery (45'), Atkinson (65')
Marquis (16'), O'Toole (33', 59'), Collins (74')
Buchanan (45'), Marquis (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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