Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
