FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
1 - 1
Oldham

Burns (8')
Morsy (34'), Donacien (54')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Keillor-Dunn (41')
McGahey (60'), Bahamboula (62')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Ipswich Town and Oldham Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Oldham Athletic
50.3%	24.68%	25.02%

Both teams to score 52.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.63%

49.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.58%

71.42%

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.36%

19.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.39%

51.61%

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77%

34.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.07%

70.92%

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 50.3%

Oldham Athletic 25.02%

Draw 24.68%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.9% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.92% Total : 50.3%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.2% Total : 25.02%