League Two

League Two | Gameweek 17

Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 1
Carlisle

Nombe (60'), Caprice (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gibson (84')
Howard (60')
Mellish (43')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Carlisle United
44.73%	26.65%	28.62%

Both teams to score 49.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13%

54.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84%

76.16%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58%

24.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.15%

58.85%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74%

34.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04%

70.96%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 44.73%

Carlisle United 28.62%

Draw 26.65%

Exeter City	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.62%