FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 0
Horsham

Young (69'), Clough (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Harding (39'), Miles (58')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Carlisle United and Horsham.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Horsham had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Horsham win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Horsham
66.29%	19.83%	13.89%

Both teams to score 49.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.36%

44.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33%

67.01%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.42%

12.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.34%

38.67%

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.19%

43.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.04%

79.97%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 66.28%

Horsham 13.89%

Draw 19.83%

Carlisle United	Draw	Horsham
2-0 @ 11.84% 1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 6.75% 4-0 @ 4.24% 4-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.79% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.12% Total : 66.28%	1-1 @ 9.43% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.83%	0-1 @ 4.55% 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.11% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.39% Total : 13.89%