FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle2 - 0Horsham
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Carlisle United and Horsham.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Horsham had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Horsham win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Horsham |
| 66.29% | 19.83% | 13.89% |
| Both teams to score 49.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
