Exeter

1 - 0

Carlisle

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.