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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2020 at 7pm UK
St. James' Park
Crawley Town

Exeter
2 - 1
Crawley

Taylor (77'), Bowman (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Watters (40')
Frost (45')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
55.47%25.12%19.41%
Both teams to score 44.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4%56.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42%77.57%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6%20.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.17%52.83%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.16%43.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.01%79.99%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 55.46%
    Crawley Town 19.41%
    Draw 25.11%
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 14.21%
2-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 4.94%
4-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.46%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.38%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 3.04%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.41%

Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
1-1
Crawley
Dickenson (82')
Moxey (42')
Nadesan (34')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crawley
0-1
Exeter

Francomb (39'), Dallison (45')
Moxey (77')
Law (65')
Apr 19, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 43
Exeter
1-3
Crawley
Bowman (50')
Sweeney (80')
Morais (26'), Grego-Cox (34', 60')
Sesay (38'), Bulman (59'), McNerney (73'), Maguire (80')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
1-1
Exeter
Morais (61')
Gambin (7'), Vincelot (41'), Payne (80'), Nathaniel-George (83')
Holmes (79')
Tillson (50'), Taylor (82')
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Crawley
Stockley (42', 57')
James (72'), Wilson (73')
Boldewijn (29'), Yorwerth (68')
Boldewijn (64'), Young (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall402012870462472
2Bradford CityBradford4020101052341870
3Port Vale401913851381370
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster3919101059461367
5AFC Wimbledon4018111153312265
6Notts County3918111058391965
7Grimsby Town40195165457-362
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe40151694739861
9Colchester UnitedColchester40141794840859
10Chesterfield3916101361451658
11Salford City391512124844457
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood401414125749856
13Bromley401314135251153
14Swindon TownSwindon401215135757051
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham401311165159-850
16BarrowBarrow401310174447-349
17Newport CountyNewport40138194965-1647
18MK Dons39137195159-846
19Gillingham391112163341-845
20Harrogate TownHarrogate40129193351-1845
21Accrington StanleyAccrington401012184659-1342
22Tranmere RoversTranmere40913183258-2640
23Morecambe40106243657-2136
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle40710233161-3031


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