Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.