Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
