Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
