EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK

John Smith's Stadium

Huddersfield
0 - 1
Rochdale

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Connell (51')

Carlos Corberan: 'We must learn from mistakes in Rochdale loss'

The Championship side suffered cup heartache to Rochdale.

Sep 5, 18:24

The Match

Match Report

The defender got on the end of Matty Done's inswinging free-kick after 51 minutes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
Huddersfield Town	Draw	Rochdale
30.88%	25.59%	43.52%

Both teams to score 54.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.4%

49.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.38%

71.62%

Huddersfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.12%

29.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.02%

65.98%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29%

22.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63%

56.36%

Score Analysis

Huddersfield Town 30.89%

Rochdale 43.52%

Draw 25.59%

Huddersfield Town	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 8.2% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.26% Total : 30.89%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 7.46% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.52%