Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Kelty Hearts has a probability of 30.65% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win is 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.67%).
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
45.9% ( 1.48) | 23.45% ( 0.05) | 30.65% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 61.43% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.93% ( -0.95) | 40.07% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.56% ( -0.98) | 62.43% ( 0.98) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( 0.22) | 17.76% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.54% ( 0.38) | 48.46% ( -0.38) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% ( -1.38) | 25.3% ( 1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% ( -1.94) | 60.07% ( 1.94) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.83% Total : 45.9% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |