Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 37.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.