Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 12, 2024 at 1pm UK
East End Park
Dunfermline2 - 1Kelty Hearts
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Kelty Hearts.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: QotS 1-5 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
49.93% ( -0.19) | 23.12% ( 0.09) | 26.95% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.89% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
