Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
46.82% ( -0.04) | 23.24% ( 0) | 29.93% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 61.75% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.54% | 39.46% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.2% ( 0) | 61.8% ( -0) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.83% ( -0.02) | 17.17% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.58% ( -0.02) | 47.42% ( 0.02) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% ( 0.02) | 25.45% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.72% ( 0.03) | 60.28% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 14 |
9 | Dumbarton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |