MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 15:03:45| >> :120:23290:23290:
Rwanda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Amahoro
Libya national football team

Rwanda
vs.
Libya

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We say: Rwanda 1-0 Libya

Rwanda have been solid in the two home matches they have played in the AFCON qualifiers, and we believe that their home form will help them edge what is expected to be a tight affair against a Libyan side fighting to remain in contention for a place at the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rwanda win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw has a probability of 26.9% and a win for Libya has a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (12.4%), while for a Libya win it is 0-1 (7.97%).

Result
RwandaDrawLibya
56.59% (0.0020000000000024 0) 26.87%16.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 36.22% (-0.002999999999993 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)84.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)52.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)86.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 56.58%
    Libya 16.53%
    Draw 26.87%
RwandaDrawLibya
1-0 @ 17.92%
2-0 @ 12.94%
2-1 @ 8.32%
3-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.01%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 56.58%
0-0 @ 12.4%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.56%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 16.53%

Who will win Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Libya?

Rwanda
Draw
Libya
Rwanda
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Libya
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Libya
1-1
Rwanda
Al Dawi (16')
Aldeen Al Qulaib (34'), Arteeba (42'), Al Badri (45+4')
Nshutiyamagara (47')
Jan 23, 2018 7pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
0-1
Libya

Rutanga (51'), Usengimana (66'), Niyonzima (71'), Ndayishimiye (80')
Abushnaf (93')
rhs 2.0
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