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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Benin national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Rwanda national football team

Benin
3 - 0
Rwanda

Mounie (7'), Hountondji (67'), Imourane (70')
Hountondji (65'), Hountondji (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kwizera (40'), Omborenga (51'), Niyigena (63'), Mbonyumwami (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Benin and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 2-1 Libya
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Rwanda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Benin 2-1 Rwanda

 Rwanda have struggled to create chances and find the net in their opening two matches, and we believe that Benin have significantly more quality in attack to score more goals in this game, while also maintaining a solid defence, which is why we are predicting a home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 41.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 28.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benin would win this match.

Result
BeninDrawRwanda
41.3% (0.43 0.43) 30.09% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 28.61% (-0.478 -0.48)
Both teams to score 40.55% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.66% (-0.282 -0.28)66.34% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.18% (-0.194 -0.19)84.82% (0.194 0.19)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (0.104 0.1)31.75% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (0.122 0.12)68.18% (-0.122 -0.12)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.41% (-0.555 -0.56)40.59% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.81% (-0.505 -0.5)77.18% (0.505 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Benin 41.3%
    Rwanda 28.61%
    Draw 30.08%
BeninDrawRwanda
1-0 @ 14.78% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 12.88% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.08%
0-1 @ 11.62% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 28.61%

How you voted: Benin vs Rwanda

Benin
66.7%
Draw
14.3%
Rwanda
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Benin
1-0
Rwanda
Dodo (37')
Dodo (44'), Imourane (82')

Imanishimwe (20')
> Preview
Mar 29, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
1-1
Benin
Manzi (71')
Dossou (57')
Mar 22, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Benin
1-1
Rwanda
Mounie (82')
Mugisha (13')
rhs 2.0
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